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L7N Longshots Review

Updated: 22nd September 2018

L7N Longshots is on the Betfan tipster platform and is run by Michael, the man behind Lucky 7 Naps. This service is, as the name suggests, aimed at picking out the best value longshots for subscribers.

Their Betfan page opens with an impressive list of long priced winners including Wayward Prince (33-1), Dutiful Son (33-1) and Smart Catch (25-1).

L7N Longshots have been verified by The Tipster League since January 2018, making a profit in five of their first eight months. They are currently showing a profit of £312.96 at a monthly average of £34.77. April was their headline month, registering a profit of 123 points from 140 points staked.

One key factor to remember with this service as that the tips are posted quite close to the action. Each-way bets for the afternoon races are available around lunchtime with the tips for evening meetings posted late afternoon. If you are considering using this service, make sure that those times will fit into your schedule for placing your bets.

L7N Longshots averages 1 bets per day at average odds of 16.67/1. One of their best tips since being verified on The Tipster League was Jully Les Buxy at 28-1 (SP 25-1) at Plumpton in January. That horse had not raced for over 600 days, had never won a race and was set to reappear on heavy ground. The one element that may have been in his favour was a change of stables.

Chikoko Trail tipped at 22-1 (SP 16-1) was another inspired selection at Pontefract in July. He was also a maiden running in a handicap but had shown reasonable form at Salisbury on his previous start. The strike rate for L7N Longshots is 8.07% with a Return on Investment of 7.02%.

Tipping good priced winners at Royal Ascot is not easy but L7N Longshots made it look like shelling peas in June 2018. Michael picked out Lagostovegas in the Ascot Stakes (10-1), Settle For Bay in the Royal Hunt Cup (14-1) and Ostilio (14-1) in the Britannia Stakes, three of the most competitive handicaps of the week.

Unfortunately for his followers, his closing day selection was his only loser of the meeting. Ganayem failed to land a gamble when backed from 11-1 to 15-2 in the Sandringham Stakes. Not surprisingly, Ascot features high in the results by course statistics, producing a profit of 103 points from the first 30 points staked.

Statistics indicate that L7N Longshots perform far better on turf than on the all-weather. This is perhaps not surprising, given the restricted fields on the artificial surfaces. Michael’s most successful races have been with 11 or more runners.

Once you have registered, you will have access to Michael’s betting bank and staking plan advice. A monthly subscription costs £45, or you can join quarterly for £80, making it less than £27 per month. Tips are emailed directly to subscribers or you can view them in the private members area on the website. Michael clearly knows how to sniff out a good value long shot and this service complements his Lucky 7 Naps extremely well.

Realistic Results

In order to present our users with the most accurate tipster review possible, we have rules in place to make sure our results are achievable.

  • We use a realistic stake size, an average of £10 per bet for every tipster.
  • Rule 4 deductions are applied.
  • Best Odds Guaranteed is not included in our results

Stake Size

£4 Per Point

Average Stake

2.54pts

Starting Bank

500pts / £2,000

Current Bank

578pts / £2,312.96

Profit

78pts / £312.96

Return On Investment

7.02%

Bank Growth

15.65%

Review Start Date

01.01.18


Results By Month

Month Bets Stakes Avg. Odds Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
September 2018 18 90.00pts 19.28/1 0.00% 28.28% -60.41% -£217.48
-54.37pts
August 2018 24 120.00pts 20.83/1 4.17% 7.00% -6.56% -£31.48
-7.87pts
July 2018 27 135.00pts 15.41/1 7.41% -4.26% 7.13% £38.52
9.63pts
June 2018 27 135.00pts 14.71/1 11.11% 0.89% 13.43% £72.52
18.13pts
May 2018 28 140.00pts 13.55/1 3.57% -10.25% -18.84% -£105.48
-26.37pts
April 2018 28 140.00pts 15.32/1 21.43% -6.79% 88.09% £493.28
123.32pts
March 2018 22 110.00pts 19.00/1 4.55% -2.45% -23.63% -£103.96
-25.99pts
February 2018 18 90.00pts 18.39/1 5.56% 10.17% 1.40% £5.04
1.26pts
January 2018 31 155.00pts 16.14/1 9.68% 3.16% 26.13% £162.00
40.50pts
223 1,115.00pts 16.67/1 8.07% 1.51% 7.02% £312.96
78.24pts

Best Tip

£10 E/W Single
Sun 7 Jan 14:05 Plumpton Jully Les Buxy 28/1 Won
Stake £20 To Return £370

Results By Course

Course Bets Stakes Avg. Odds Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
Plumpton 2 10.00pts 20.00/1 100.00% -25.50% 1,250.00% £500.00
125.00pts
Ascot 7 35.00pts 18.86/1 42.86% -8.86% 282.14% £395.00
98.75pts
Newmarket (Rowley) 3 15.00pts 11.33/1 66.67% 17.00% 425.00% £255.00
63.75pts
Pontefract 2 10.00pts 19.00/1 50.00% -27.50% 610.00% £244.00
61.00pts
Ripon 2 10.00pts 16.00/1 50.00% 5.00% 370.00% £148.00
37.00pts
Musselburgh 6 30.00pts 13.90/1 16.67% 2.67% 106.67% £128.00
32.00pts
Fairyhouse 2 10.00pts 9.50/1 50.00% -5.50% 262.50% £105.00
26.25pts
Perth 2 10.00pts 13.00/1 50.00% -3.00% 262.50% £105.00
26.25pts
Lingfield Park 12 60.00pts 13.17/1 8.33% -7.08% 29.17% £70.00
17.50pts
Catterick Bridge 3 15.00pts 9.50/1 33.33% -11.67% 89.60% £53.76
13.44pts

L7N Longshots performs best at Plumpton, making 125.00pts profit to 10.00pts staked, a return on investment of 1,250.00%.


Results By Race Type

Type Bets Stakes Avg. Odds Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
Turf 95 475.00pts 16.80/1 9.47% 1.14% 27.02% £513.40
128.35pts
Hurdles 55 275.00pts 17.09/1 7.27% -3.78% 14.05% £154.52
38.63pts
Chases 34 170.00pts 17.96/1 8.82% 13.24% -6.39% -£43.48
-10.87pts
All Weather 39 195.00pts 14.63/1 5.13% -0.36% -39.93% -£311.48
-77.87pts

L7N Longshots has had most success tipping Turf, making 128.35pts profit to 475.00pts staked, a return on investment of 27.02%.


Results By Class

Class Bets Stakes Avg. Odds Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
Class 2 41 205.00pts 16.24/1 14.63% 2.05% 43.54% £357.04
89.26pts
Class 3 25 125.00pts 17.20/1 12.00% 15.20% 62.70% £313.52
78.38pts
Class 5 38 190.00pts 16.81/1 7.89% 10.50% 28.42% £216.00
54.00pts
Class 6 41 205.00pts 14.94/1 7.32% -11.41% 2.91% £23.84
5.96pts
Class 7 4 20.00pts 18.00/1 0.00% -0.75% -100.00% -£80.00
-20.00pts
Class 1 27 135.00pts 21.68/1 3.70% 0.30% -18.33% -£98.96
-24.74pts
Class 4 35 175.00pts 14.48/1 2.86% 3.09% -46.21% -£323.48
-80.87pts

L7N Longshots has had most success tipping Class 2 racing, making 89.26pts profit to 205.00pts staked, a return on investment of 43.54%.


Results By Advised Odds

Odds Bets Stakes Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
14/1 26 130.00pts 15.38% 9.27% 89.23% £464.00
116.00pts
28/1 5 25.00pts 20.00% -24.80% 350.00% £350.00
87.50pts
10/1 19 95.00pts 21.05% 3.47% 68.95% £262.00
65.50pts
6/1 6 30.00pts 50.00% 14.17% 150.83% £181.00
45.25pts
22/1 12 60.00pts 8.33% -6.67% 72.50% £174.00
43.50pts
12/1 30 150.00pts 10.00% -4.00% 25.67% £154.00
38.50pts
15/2 2 10.00pts 50.00% -16.50% 184.40% £73.76
18.44pts
11/1 12 60.00pts 8.33% 2.92% -3.10% -£7.44
-1.86pts
33/1 6 30.00pts 0.00% 8.00% -22.90% -£27.48
-6.87pts
40/1 2 10.00pts 0.00% -4.00% -100.00% -£40.00
-10.00pts

L7N Longshots has had most success at odds of 14/1, making 116.00pts profit to 130.00pts staked, a return on investment of 89.23%.


Results By Number Of Runners

Runners Bets Stakes Avg. Odds Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
30 Runners 3 15.00pts 26.00/1 66.67% -16.67% 550.00% £330.00
82.50pts
19 Runners 6 30.00pts 18.83/1 16.67% 21.00% 152.10% £182.52
45.63pts
11 Runners 13 65.00pts 14.55/1 15.38% -3.69% 44.62% £116.00
29.00pts
13 Runners 31 155.00pts 17.90/1 6.45% -10.90% 16.54% £102.52
25.63pts
23 Runners 3 15.00pts 11.33/1 33.33% 12.67% 162.53% £97.52
24.38pts
27 Runners 2 10.00pts 21.00/1 0.00% 29.50% 212.50% £85.00
21.25pts
12 Runners 34 170.00pts 15.11/1 8.82% -4.82% 9.38% £63.80
15.95pts
15 Runners 9 45.00pts 12.42/1 11.11% 19.56% 26.67% £48.00
12.00pts
24 Runners 2 10.00pts 22.50/1 0.00% 4.00% 81.30% £32.52
8.13pts
10 Runners 9 45.00pts 14.56/1 11.11% -4.56% 4.44% £8.00
2.00pts

L7N Longshots has had most success in races with 30 Runners, making 82.50pts profit to 15.00pts staked, a return on investment of 550.00%.


Results By Jockey

Jockey Bets Stakes Avg. Odds Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
Nick Scholfield 1 5.00pts 28.00/1 100.00% -27.00% 1,750.00% £350.00
87.50pts
Robert Winston 1 5.00pts 12.00/1 100.00% 7.00% 1,200.00% £240.00
60.00pts
Graham Lee 3 15.00pts 19.75/1 33.33% 8.67% 373.33% £224.00
56.00pts
William James Lee 1 5.00pts 14.00/1 100.00% -39.00% 875.00% £175.00
43.75pts
Silvestre De Sousa 1 5.00pts 14.00/1 100.00% 4.00% 875.00% £175.00
43.75pts
Jamie Gormley 1 5.00pts 14.00/1 100.00% 20.00% 840.00% £168.00
42.00pts
James Doyle 1 5.00pts 12.00/1 100.00% 40.00% 750.00% £150.00
37.50pts
Shane Gray 2 10.00pts 12.50/1 50.00% -34.00% 370.00% £148.00
37.00pts
Barry Geraghty 1 5.00pts 11.00/1 100.00% 29.00% 687.60% £137.52
34.38pts
Tom Cannon 2 10.00pts 12.30/1 50.00% 27.50% 325.00% £130.00
32.50pts

Jockey Nick Scholfield has performed well for L7N Longshots, making 87.50pts profit to 5.00pts staked, a return on investment of 1,750.00%.


Results By Day Of The Week

Day Bets Stakes Avg. Odds Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
Sunday 31 155.00pts 17.05/1 12.90% 7.71% 86.94% £539.04
134.76pts
Friday 33 165.00pts 16.71/1 12.12% -4.39% 57.51% £379.56
94.89pts
Tuesday 21 105.00pts 17.97/1 9.52% 2.05% 49.76% £209.00
52.25pts
Wednesday 35 175.00pts 14.59/1 11.43% 2.74% 8.11% £56.76
14.19pts
Monday 27 135.00pts 14.47/1 7.41% 5.59% 6.31% £34.08
8.52pts
Thursday 29 145.00pts 17.80/1 3.45% 0.31% -47.24% -£274.00
-68.50pts
Saturday 47 235.00pts 17.93/1 2.13% -1.21% -67.18% -£631.48
-157.87pts

L7N Longshots performs best on Sunday, making 134.76pts profit to 155.00pts staked, a return on investment of 86.94%.


Results By Stake Size

Stake Bets Stakes Avg. Odds Strike Rate EV ROI Profit
5.00pt 4 20.00pts 17.75/1 25.00% -17.00% 225.00% £180.00
45.00pts
2.50pt 219 1,095.00pts 16.65/1 7.76% 1.84% 3.04% £132.96
33.24pts

L7N Longshots has had most success with his 5.00pt bets, making 45.00pts profit to 20.00pts staked, a return on investment of 225.00%.


L7N Longshots Results

  • 21 September 2018

  • 14:20 Newbury

    Platitude · 18/1 · SP 20/1 · Position 8/8

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit -£20.00
  • Daily Total: -£20.00

  • 20 September 2018

  • 16:45 Ayr

    One Boy · 16/1 · SP 12/1 · Position 5/20

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit -£20.00
  • Daily Total: -£20.00

  • 19 September 2018

  • 16:30 Beverley

    Scoundrel · 16/1 · SP 9/1 · Position 3/17

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit £30.00
  • Daily Total: £30.00

  • 18 September 2018

  • 15:20 Yarmouth

    Astrobreeze · 50/1 · SP 40/1 · Position 10/12

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit -£20.00
  • Daily Total: -£20.00

  • 17 September 2018

  • 14:20 Worcester

    Dawnieriver · 12/1 · SP 8/1 · Position 6/15

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit -£20.00
  • Daily Total: -£20.00

  • 15 September 2018

  • 13:50 Doncaster

    Tis Marvellous · 18/1 · SP 14/1 · Position 10/21

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit -£20.00
  • Daily Total: -£20.00

  • 13 September 2018

  • 14:15 Ffos Las

    Choral Music · 12/1 · SP 8/1 · Position 4/8

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit -£20.00
  • Daily Total: -£20.00

  • 12 September 2018

  • 17:15 Doncaster

    Lydiate Lady · 25/1 · SP 12/1 · Position 5/12

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit -£20.00
  • Daily Total: -£20.00

  • 10 September 2018

  • 15:15 Perth

    Simply Mani · 16/1 · SP 14/1 · Position 7/8

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit -£20.00
  • Daily Total: -£20.00

  • 09 September 2018

  • 14:20 York

    Framley Garth · 33/1 · SP 14/1 · Position 4/19

    Stake: £10.00 EW Profit £72.52
  • Daily Total: £72.52


Harvey MaysonHarvey Mayson

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