Who Will Win The 2020 Presidential Election?
This table lists current and potential candidates for the presidency and ranks them according to their probability of winning. It’s driven by live data and dynamically updated every five minutes, reflecting changes in response to events as they happen.
The source data is taken from Betfair, where punters can place their own bets on who they think will win. Because the odds are determined by punters betting against each other, they give a true picture of sentiment across the betting market – as opposed to bookmakers’ odds, which are skewed in their favour so they can make a profit.
Donald Trump
Republican
President of the United States
43.9%
Chance of winning
Bernie Sanders
Democrat
Senator for Vermont
12.8%
Chance of winning
Joe Biden
Democrat
Former Vice President of the United States
11.1%
Chance of winning
Kamala Harris
Democrat
Senator for California
6.3%
Chance of winning
Pete Buttigieg
Democrat
Mayor of South Bend, Indiana
6.1%
Chance of winning
Beto O'Rourke
Democrat
Former Representative for Texas’s 16th District
3.4%
Chance of winning
Andrew Yang
Democrat
Entrepreneur
3.3%
Chance of winning
Elizabeth Warren
Democrat
Senator for Massachusetts
2.4%
Chance of winning
Amy Klobuchar
Democrat
Senator for Minnesota
1.4%
Chance of winning
Tulsi Gabbard
Democrat
Representative for Hawaii’s 2nd District
1.1%
Chance of winning
Mike Pence
Republican
Vice President of the United States
1%
Chance of winning
Cory Booker
Democrat
Senator for New Jersey
0.8%
Chance of winning
Nikki Haley
Republican
Former United States Ambassador to the United Nations
0.4%
Chance of winning
Kirsten Gillibrand
Democrat
Senator for New York
0.4%
Chance of winning
Stacey Abrams
Democrat
Former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives
0.4%
Chance of winning
Hillary Clinton
Democrat
2016 Democratic Nominee
0.3%
Chance of winning
Julian Castro
Democrat
Former United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development
0.3%
Chance of winning
Steve Bullock
Democrat
Governor of Montana
0.2%
Chance of winning
Tim Ryan
Democrat
Representative for Ohio’s 13th District
0.1%
Chance of winning
Anyone Else
4.3%
Chance of winning